In my last post, I have indicated that equities all over the world are set to boom, and have requested all members to STAY INVESTED for a Nifty target of 15000. Yes the next bull phase will see nothing less than 15K nifty level. Any bull phase, in its beginning stage will see attempts by Bears to pull the index down, and we have already seen that two months back when nifty almost touched 5200 levels due to bear hammering. Once this attempt is done with, we can safely assume that nifty journey will now be smooth upto 15000.
However, there is one possibility which we can term as Local Factor, which can give us all a last chance to pick the shares we missed out last time. Call it a Golden Chance which may be presented to us in a few months from now. What is that Local Factor? Read on.......
Last 5 months in India, many political, economic and social developments have happened, and keep happening. I consider them as COMPONENTS OF A BOMB placed on the table. Here are a few examples:
2G Scam, Raja arrested, DMK involvement, Kanimozhi charge sheeted, Anna Hazare, Subramanyam Swamy, TN Election, WB Election, Old Bosses sitting with no job (Gowda, Lalu, Mulayam), Food Inflation, Arrest of Corporate Bigwigs, Swiss Money, and you can go on adding....
These components are presently being wired without any body knowing that all these components are ones required to make a UPA BOMB which ultimately result in FALL of UPA II GOVT. Some wiring somewhere can ignite the Bomb. I feel if Mamata comes to power without Congress dependence, and if DMK loses power, the wiring will have come close to getting ignited, and it will be only a matter of time before actual igniting will take place. The fall of the Govt will give a KNEE JERK level of nifty. So members can not only remain Invested, they should also keep sufficient liquidity with them, to take advantage of this Golden Chance.
Possible levels of some of the shares if the above Golden Chance does take place: Unitech 9, Reliance Communication 49, Reliance Capital 199, Colgate 599, RIL 490, Videocon Ind 99, etc. etc. Nifty may even fall below 4500 but the lower level will not remain for long. It will be only for a few days or some level may even be only for a few hours.
Keep your fingers crossed, and wait for the Golden Opportunity. Chances of such a situation right now is 50:50.
kadiyali.