Nifty Futures 11AM Report
11AM...Nifty Futures opened today at 4846 against its previous close of 4822, and is currently trading at 4868. It has so far recorded a HIGH of 4870 & a LOW of 4838. Asian cues are mixed, US futures are in red, and European markets may open near flat today. Nifty will trade with gains for most part of the day, but will lose all its gain towards the end, and will close just flat. NF is likely to have a trading range of 4800-4890.
Trading Calls
12.30PM...NF now at 4895. Go SHORT. SL 4927. Target 1 - 4845. Target 2 - 4819.
3.22PM...NF now at 4903. Carry the short to tomorrow.
Market Closing Report
Nifty futures closed the day at 4897, up 75 points, after touching a high of 4908. The morning low of 4838 remained the low of the day.
NIFTY OUTLOOK
Nifty had a bullish trade today, almost touching 4900, and closed the day near day's high at 4892, up 84 points. FIIs net bought 776cr & DIIs net bought 133cr. Nifty has just entered the over bought zone & is likely to retrace in a day or two.
Nifty levels for 16.09.09 Wednesday are: PIVOT 4867, R1 4925 & R2 4958, S1 4834 & S2 4775.
kadiyali sir,
ReplyDeleteCan we short at 4890 sir?
Thaks,
Arun
Dear Kadiyali, You said yesterday that there would be a gap down. Why was it a gap up today? Are the FII's targetting for 5k?
ReplyDeleteG morning Kadiyali ji...
ReplyDeleteAs of now Nifty in no mood to come down.. sanghai also turning green..
will wait for ur short call..
Sir, what we should do with 4600 PE & 4700 PE? should we exit today or wait ? please reply sir
ReplyDeleteMy friend Kadiyali, you are no longer on MMB now that you can give any kind of recommendation and not bother for consequences. You are now in a mode where you are looking to get paid clients for your services. Going by your last 10 days' calls, people are better of relying on a coin toss.
ReplyDeleteGap down today? Hardly.. and considering that there were no favorable cues in the morning, your failure to read the market internals are quite unexplainable. Each and every so called expert on CNBC is bullish and you advise buying puts!!
Your big call yesterday was 4500 within this expiry. If that happens, lemme take you out for drinks and together we will celebrate your bold call. Otherwise you become one of the million blogs floating around giving advise on Indian Stock Markets.
Gdmrning Sir,
ReplyDeleteSeems like 4900 is jst a matter of time nw.Kindly suggest if thats a gud level to go short ?
Regards
Sandip
Dear Manoj,
ReplyDeleteFiftypointsaday is still a free blog,and anyone can go wrong,as market is supreme,your mesg is totally uncalled for.
request you to kindly delete the message.
4875 Nifty spot broken convincengly.. sir dont give short call arnd 4890.. now NF 4920 is sure to come..
ReplyDelete4500PE lost most of its value.What should be done with them?
ReplyDeleteDear Manoj, I completely agree with anurag. please delete the message.
ReplyDeleteDear Manoj,
ReplyDeleteas anurag said fiftypointsaday is a free blog and if out of 10 calls even if 6 is right, is more than sufficient to be in profit, calls anyone can give whereever one wishes let it be MMB or some blog its up to the individual to take the right decisions. If you dont like the calls given here you are free to go to some other blog.
I have nothing against kadiyali, but I too lost all my wealth last month going by his trading recommendatations last month when he started Aug Series asking everyone to buy 4900 CE below 65 and kept averaging it down and last average was buying 4500 CE at 48 levels, then one fine day kadiyali asked everyone to book losses in calls when they already became penny and go short and then that too call failed.
ReplyDeleteI do not see anything wrong with Manoj comments, I think what he has written is absolutely correct. If one claims to be expert he should be held accountable too.
can some of you give NF trading calls for today
ReplyDeleteSid/Manoj, Its your choice to follow tips/calls
ReplyDeletefrom this blog. So you are as much accountable and responsible for your PROFIT/LOSS.
Cheers
arun, wait for my call.
ReplyDeleteLets not fight here, let kadiyaliji concentrate on giving calls. no one is god here, any one can go wrong, lets keep our finger crossed and hope for good gains.
ReplyDeleteKadiyali sir,
ReplyDeleteI think you have to postponed your subscription plan for another 1-2 months.
People, consider kadiyali's Sir reccomendations as a view that he presents. tht will solve vry1's purpose.
ReplyDeleteSorry, but I did not posted my message to malign kadiyali image, it is just to give a observation that how for two consecutive months YES MONTHS and not days or weeks he has failed miserably.
ReplyDeleteHello friends, this is a free blog, meaning all can express their views freely. Just like many express happiness when my calls go right, you should understand that a few will also become happy when my calls go wrong for obvious reasons. Just allow them to write whatever they feel, it gives you an opportunity to identify the other side of the coin.
ReplyDeleteGuys,
ReplyDeleteLets drop this bad habbit. Why do we first push a man to hype "Kadiyali you are god,you are a messiah" when his calls give profits and then start brickbats when a few calls go wrong.
Noone is perfect here and thats why they are here on this forum. Everyone can go wrong in mkts and some on MMB are eveytime wrong.
Let Kadiyali concentrate on giving calls, those who dont want paid service dont take it, just relax and lets not start a war here.
Peace mates.
I have no argument/complaint against anybody but I must make my confession here that I lost more than one lakh in option trade for these two months.....
ReplyDeleteI AM SORRY but dont try to be rich in a month or two......always hope for the BEST
kudos Kadiyali Ji :)
ReplyDeleteDear Kadiyali,
ReplyDeleteI seriously need your help to cover anyway.
arey baba chodo yeh sab jagda...nifty ko short maro!
ReplyDelete"arun, wait for my call." - OK sir
ReplyDeleterest your grudges ppl...n lets hope we all end our days in green
ReplyDeleteKadiyali,
ReplyDeleteAm also waiting, seems the FII are hell bent on taking markets to 5000+. All my ICICIPA gone 0 this month. Damn!!!!!
Sir.. we shd wait for 4920 or 2pm before going short.. just my view sir.. please suggest call when u think is right time. 4890 over taken already
ReplyDeletesir,
ReplyDeleteshanker sharma of first global is a big bear..he always says market will fall..fall..one day it falls ..the story here is same sher aaya sher aaya ..one day it will cum and the day everyone is happy..markets are always supreme than predictions..
sreeram, 4912 is a very big resistance, so current level is a good level (4897) to short with a SL of say 4916. But let us wait for a few minutes.
ReplyDeleteshall we go short now any advise
ReplyDeleteok sirji...
ReplyDeleteRajat, 5000+ may not come in this expiry though it may come next month. If at all, it should have come by now. This expiry with only 8 more trading days can give a volatile swing.
ReplyDeleteAt what level can we short sir?
ReplyDeletewht abt shrtng unitech its 5 % up
ReplyDeleteHi Kadiyali, just a correction, excluding today, there are only 6 trading days available. Mondy is off for Eid-ul-Fitr
ReplyDeleteKadiyaliji,
ReplyDeleteHave added a short @ 4894 with a SL of 4915 already. What you say makes a lot of sense, operators eat prem of calls and puts and if mkts reach 5000 those who bought 5000 calls will profit which thet may not allow.
Have 2 Icici760PA @ 8 which is almost worthless now. It wll require a big swing for Icici to go anywhere below 800.
Either in last hour we weill kiss 4950 or we will fall as you think.
Thanks
Rajat, NF will definitely breach the current low of 4838.
ReplyDeleteKadiyali sir dont u think 4865 is a good suport now.. just a query??
ReplyDeletesreeram, see my 12.30PM call above.
ReplyDeleteok sir.. thanks
ReplyDeletesir, rsi is still strong
ReplyDeleteSir why blog is not updating
ReplyDeletewhy dont you few g keep posting your msgs for new commers
ReplyDeletelets share our veiws for the benefit of our friends on this blog.Mr.Kadiyalis views are coimg true and nifty slowly going down.i feel we shoul not criticise some one who is sharing his expertise for us.I too lost lot few lacs but i dont hold any one responsible for that
ReplyDeleteim 4 tims mailing to u bt nobdy cll me abt cnfrmation ur bnk a/c no .bt im rdy to drp cash .
ReplyDeletesir, cn v shrt unitech..plz reply
ReplyDeletesabyasachi das, stop sending repetitive comments. You have answer for all your querries reg paid service in my comments here as well as 6 emails sent to you repeating what you want. If you are interested, go ahead otherwise pl drop. No one will call you over phone requesting you to become member, as you have been insisting.
ReplyDeleteToday also they are trying to keep NF in a range, and will try to eat SL at both sides.
ReplyDeleteHI Kadiyali ji,
ReplyDeletehave shorted 5 lots nifty @ 4888 after your short call. Would also like to know your views at ABAN @ this rate for shorting.
Regards,
Sir,
ReplyDeleteshould we wait fr the target or should we buk nw?
riskytrader, you have enough exposure for the day. As NF is trading in a range without direction, intraday calls may not yield much in Aban.
ReplyDeletesir,can i shrt unitech ..plz guide
ReplyDeleteKadiyali ji, Tnx for your views. Sincerely hoping that we get fifty points worth of profits today, but looks like the premium which has been consistently there for the last few days is not going out and we will surely test high again today.
ReplyDeleteRegards,
Sir,Nifty inching towards its day high. Kindly advise if we shud buk or wait fr the target
ReplyDeleteMr.kadiyali whats your veiw on Bhel FnO
ReplyDeleteBT SIR I HVE NO ANY BNK DTILS OF URS ,SO PLS GIV ME THT
ReplyDeleteUntil this nifty future premium gets eaten up, nifty is not going to fall and my feeling is telling me something is not right.
ReplyDeleteI think nifty will close much above 4900. but still hoping kadiyali ji's say cmes true
ReplyDeleteSomething will give way within next 20 minutes, either 4910 or 4860. Letz hope 4860 gives way.
ReplyDeletewhat a narrow range bound NF something around teh corner.. UP or DOWN.. donnooo.. fingers crossed for it to come down..
ReplyDeleteJust hope that NF will fall like pack of cards in the end. But looking at last couple of hours of NF trading, it looks like that it is going to make a new high much above 4900.
ReplyDeleteNifty has been gone up 11 sessions out of last 13 trading sessiions. If you see, the daily volume has been nearly half. Trading range has been very narrow. Whatever up nifty has gone will be covered withing just 2 sessions in this expiry. Just wait n watch.... Nifty expiry would be near 4600. If we have real bad luck, this figure of 4600 will come withing 2 days after expiry. Just hoping to have good luck and not booking whatever is left in Puts.
ReplyDeleteKadiyali Sir, Please suggest if i am thinking on the right lines.
kamal, I agree with you.
ReplyDeleteToday you will see action after 3pm 4850 or 4800 if not today tomorrow sure. No one way ticket to 5000
ReplyDeletesir i hv shrd unitech at 110.50..nw plz guide
ReplyDeleteI will be too happy if it happens becasue I am carrying a nifty straddle of 5000 CE and 4600 PE which will make my PE to rock.
ReplyDeleteCheers
Sir,canyou plz share your views about ifci FnO
ReplyDeletemanu, I have not tracked Unitech today.
ReplyDeleteBUT I AM VERY SURE OF 5000+ BEFORE EXPIRY AND AS I SAID THAT IT WILL EVEN NOT TOUCH 4700
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteDo you also agree with Kamal,that Nifty can touch 4600 within 2 days after sept expiry?
If this is the case, then what will happen to our puts?
Premiums in 4600/4500 is almost less than 50% now. Really worried !!
JK Jain - Difference of opinions is what makes the market work!!
ReplyDeleteDear kadiyali,
ReplyDeleteThere is some addition of 14.5 lacs shares in 4800 PUT option. No addition in Call option and some reduction in OI. This shows some thing is cooking. your views pls?
thanks
vijay
Dear Kamal,
ReplyDeleteYour every dream will come true if you buy October PUTS (no bad luck atleast for 34 days) but the gain will not be exponential!! Please consult Kadiyali about that.
Regards
i agree kamalji i have this view only bcause of ppl are only either short or puts. and i also belive that market will close above 4920 and tomorrow morning there will be a gap up opening.
ReplyDelete2.30pm factor working... fall started...
ReplyDeletebut we shd cover without waiting for more or greed.. ur views sir
Shubra Sankar, Will buy Oct Puts on 24th Sept if Sept Puts dont materialise.
ReplyDeleteThanks
i am not expert and i am not any TA i have this view only bcause of ppl are expecting market to fall. and one more thing i belive that market will rise in last tading hour subsequently to the range where ppl have not expected.
ReplyDeletei still belive that market will not fall below 4840 and bounce back to 4900+
ReplyDeleteItz high time that nifty future gets into discount, then we can hope to get even 70 points today..
ReplyDelete4900+ by end of day
ReplyDeleteMarket's going nowhr but up ppl.
ReplyDeleteI think we missed the chance.. it will be now only short covering.. i think??
ReplyDeleteKadiyali sir pls advice us when u think it is time.. thanks
tommorrow n day afta mite be the big correction day as all european markets are also in fatigue. Am i correct Sir ?
ReplyDeleteVijay,
ReplyDelete"There is some addition of 14.5 lacs shares in 4800 PUT option. No addition in Call option and some reduction in OI. This shows some thing is cooking. your views pls?"
What does that mean? What u expected now ?
risky,
ReplyDeleteIts in premium.....
It mean that put writers believe that 4800 would hold good support in near term or before expiry and reduction in OI of call mean that call writers are unwinding expecting markets to move up
ReplyDeleteVijay, if you have seen the kind of jump in OI of 4800 PUT, that is the first indication of nifty getting into overbought condition. So rise from here is limited, whereas any fall in nifty will be very very steep.
ReplyDeleteIts good ...means that now everybody thinks market will go up only...
ReplyDeleteSir, whn to sqr off , kindly advice
ReplyDeleteThanks kadiyali. I covered my short at 4870.
ReplyDeleteScript for tomorrow: everyone comes in at 11am, shorts nifty, nifty moves higher by eod. The market will move down when people stop shorting.
ReplyDeleteThis
Awaiting your comment sir
ReplyDeleteAnother dissapointing day , another bloodbath day ends for the shorters.
ReplyDeleteSandip, EOD is approaching, day's shorts are getting covered above 4890. It will be next turn of longs getting covered below 4880.
ReplyDeletewht im doing wth my 4600/4700 pe.sq up or hld it.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeletesir, today can be one of the exceptional day where we can carry our NF short for tomorrow, reply sir pls
ReplyDeletesreeram/KS, yes you can carry the shorts for tomorrow.
ReplyDeleteThank you very much sir
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeletesir, this is the first time time i hav heard tht u cn carry positions infuture..
ReplyDeleteThanks sir but i will close my position today only loss or profit.. i like goodnight sleep sir.. (we will fight an other day sir..) guys this is my personal decision.. take ur own..
ReplyDeleteDear Kadiyali,
ReplyDeleteI had shorted 2 lots, as a risk containment, exited 1 lot costs to cost and holding one as you advised.
Thanks
Bought 2 4800 put at 42....
ReplyDeleteCarrying over 4 lots @ 4889 for tomorrow Sir. Again Fingers crossed.
ReplyDeleteanyone see 4900CE price is 75/- and market is near 80+
ReplyDeleteEurope and US will close with big gains..... gap up for NF tomorrow
ReplyDeleteWanted- a correction of 8.2% in 6 trading days to reach 4500.
ReplyDeleteNifty PCR as on EOD yesterday was 1.46. A classic reversal zone.
In spite of negative cues yesterday, we posted a flat day. In spite of flat to -ve global cues today, we posted gains of 1.5% today. Looks like a liquidity driven push the likes of which we saw in 2007.
Having said that, nifty has just about gained 4.4% since last expiry which hardly qualifies has a runaway rally to be sold into.
My puts have lost 75% of their values and every day like today pushes the nifty away from the strike price and possibility of reducing losses.
Mr K, do you still maintain your 4600 PE target of 120/ 150?
Dear Kadiyali,
ReplyDeleteInstead of shorting Nifty/Minifty Futures, I have shorted 4900 CE at 74/- and simultaneously I have purchased 5000 CE at 31/-. Please let me know me what further I can do with this trade.
Bysani
hello sirji
ReplyDeleteIt looks like a gap up opening today at 4950... Lets hope that this is the highest point this expiry...
ReplyDeleteRegards,
Vinod
Like Kadiyali went wrong miserably predicting markets last month when he kept asking all to buy calls and keep averaging, he again went wrong predicting markets where he kept asking everyone to buy puts and keep averaging with higher strike put options, even though yesterday when I had mentioned that addition in 4800 put and reduction in OI of 4900 and 5000 calls means 4800 would hold support as market players feel market will go up in near term, kadiyali had asked everyone to hold puts and now when they will become penny he will ask everyone to book losses, he even asked everyone to hold shorts for today which is addition to loss many are having with puts already.
ReplyDeleteSid,
ReplyDeleteI dont know who are you but I would like to say that nobody forced you to go with Kadiyali's comments/calls in this blog.
As far as my investment/trading is concerned, I had done the same without any force. Its my choice whether i would like to sail with kadiyali's call or not.
I know, its a free blog.
But still, better you restrain visiting from this blog or comments.
Thank you.
We need to keep this blog free for comments.
ReplyDeleteJust like there are no restrictions while we praise him for his good calls , same way we also need no restrictions for bad calls as well.
Its a free blog , so shall we keep the comments posting free as well.
Let me say this thing clear I have not insulted or abused anyone, but I have a right to speak myself unless kadiyali makes this blog for private use, I have not said anything wrong we Kadiyali has gone miserably wrong twice in consecutive month predicting markets. Aug Series people lost heavily in calls and this month people lost heavily in puts.
ReplyDeleteMake this clear and I would not stop posting on your suggestions, yes kadiyali can make this pvt blog if he wishes so, kadiyali knows this himself he has gone miserably wrong this month and last month as well.
Sid,
ReplyDeleteYou are perfectly right. I had just seen one replies from one boarder on MMB message board under Kadiyali's replies. I have burnt my fingers as well in past due to this erratic calls.
What is there to hurt anyone or kadiyali, it is absolutely truth that how people lost so much capital going by his erratic calls, in august series from buying 4900 CE from 65 levels to averaging down 4800-4700-4600-and last buying 4500 CE at 48 levels, one fine day he ask us to exit all calls when they became penny already and go short and markets reversed and went up, this month again he asked everyone to buy 4600 PE at 60 and keep averaging till now and again people lost heavily because of his erratic calls.
ReplyDeleteWhat is so big about hits one can himself keep hitting blog 100 times a day and numbers would go up. Nothing again against kadiyali it is just rather then being egoistic about criticism he should value precious money we lost going by his recommendations and try to be considerate and fine tune his job.
Good luck!